Research, methods & ideas
I am a UK-based economist working on macroeconomic forecasting, applied econometrics, economic measurement, and quantitative financial research.
01 / Areas of interest
Economic questions, empirical analysis and applications in finance and policy.
Economic growth, inflation, labour markets and forecasting.
Explore interestStatistical modelling, time-series analysis and empirical methods.
Explore interestFinancial markets, asset pricing, risk and exchange rates.
Explore interestPredictive modelling and data-driven economic analysis.
Explore interestProductivity, innovation, competition and industry dynamics.
Explore interest02 / Current research
Research | SSRN working paper · further research ongoing
Evidence from U.S. GDP, Inflation, and Labour Markets
Research | Manuscript in preparation
Sequential Strategy Development and Out-of-Sample Validation in U.S. Mid-Cap Equities
Research | Manuscript in preparation
Walk-Forward Validation, Portfolio Constraints, and Forward Shadow Testing
03 / Public research
2026 · SSRN working paper
Official SSRN paper record · not a peer-reviewed journal article.
2026 · SSRN working paper
Official SSRN paper record · not a peer-reviewed journal article.
04 / Writing
Short reflections on economic questions, research design, and quantitative methods.
Independent research commentary and technical notes will appear here as they are released.
Writing archive05 / Analytical approach
I combine economic reasoning, statistical modelling and careful interpretation to study economic questions and communicate results.
More about my workResearch & collaboration