Cenk Yildiran / Research website

Publications

Cenk Ufuk Yildiran: verified journal article, OECD and NPL reports, publicly released preprints and research in preparation.

This page distinguishes peer-reviewed journal articles, institutional and policy reports, public preprints, and research in preparation. A report or preprint is not represented as a peer-reviewed journal article.

The released works below link to the publisher, institutional repository, DOI or public preprint listing. Bibliographic details were cross-checked against Cogent Economics & Finance, OECD, NPL’s institutional repository and SSRN. The list covers verified records identified so far; it may not be exhaustive.

Two additional 2026 SSRN working papers are now included below: one on Bayesian VAR macroeconomic forecasting and one on real-time, release-stage-dependent macroeconomic nowcasting. SSRN posting is public dissemination, not confirmation of journal peer review.

Download all 11 BibTeX citations

Each released output now has an individual citation page with its authors, source, DOI (where available), BibTeX download.

Peer-reviewed journal articles

  1. 2017 · Peer-reviewed journal article Forecasting USDTRY rate by ARIMA method Cenk Ufuk Yildiran and Abdurrahman Fettahoglu. Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), article 1335968 (2017). Details & citation →Official record ↗

Institutional and policy reports

  1. 2025 · NPL report A Summary of Science Metrix’s Bibliometric Assessment of the National Physical Laboratory’s Outputs on Advanced Manufacturing, Data & Digital, Life Sciences & Health, and Energy & Environment (2013–2023) Eva Jiang, Cenk Yildiran and Mike King. NPL Report IEA 30 (2025). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  2. 2025 · NPL report A summary of Science Metrix’s bibliometric assessment of the National Physical Laboratory’s metrology research outputs (2013–2023) Cenk Yildiran and Mike King. NPL Report IEA 26 (2025). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  3. 2024 · NPL report Bibliometrics: A Pilot Study for National Physical Laboratory’s Publications over 2000–2023 Cenk Yildiran. NPL Report IEA 23 (2024). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  4. 2024 · NPL report Visualising the Locations of NPL’s SED Departments and Designated NMS Laboratories Within an Impact Space Srajal Nayak, Cenk Yildiran, Callum Dias and Mike King. NPL Report IEA 22 (2024). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  5. 2019 · OECD policy paper Ship finance practices in major shipbuilding economies Laurent Daniel and Cenk Yildiran. OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, No. 75 (2019). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  6. 2018 · OECD report Shipbuilding Market Developments Q2 2018 OECD Working Party on Shipbuilding; Cenk Yildiran identified as a report contact/contributor. OECD document C/WP6(2018)9/FINAL (2018). Details & citation →Official record ↗

Public preprints

  1. 2026 · Preprint (not peer reviewed) Bayesian Vector Autoregression for Joint Macroeconomic Forecasting: Pseudo-Real-Time Evidence, Density Forecasts, Structural Dynamics, Scenario Analysis, and Practical Macro-Risk Use for the United States Cenk Ufuk Yildiran. SSRN working paper, posted 27 September 2026 (77 pages). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  2. 2026 · Preprint (not peer reviewed) Real-Time Macroeconomic Nowcasting with Stage-dependent Model Policies: Evidence from U.S. GDP, Inflation, and Labour Markets Cenk Ufuk Yildiran. SSRN working paper, posted 22 August 2026 (69 pages). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  3. 2021 · Preprint (not peer reviewed) Mass lay-offs in the United States of America, an analysis over 1995–2013 Cenk Ufuk Yildiran. SSRN preprint (2021). Details & citation →Official record ↗
  4. 2020 · Preprint (not peer reviewed) Does TFP Growth Depend on Patenting Figures? A Cross Country Analysis Over 1981–2017 Cenk Ufuk Yildiran. SSRN preprint (2020). Details & citation →Official record ↗

Current research

Current working papers and manuscripts. The nowcasting paper is available on SSRN; the other manuscripts are in preparation.

  1. SSRN working paper · further research ongoing Real-Time Macroeconomic Nowcasting with Stage-Dependent Model Policies Evidence from U.S. GDP, Inflation, and Labour Markets
  2. Manuscript in preparation From Breakouts and Momentum to Short-Term Reversal Sequential Strategy Development and Out-of-Sample Validation in U.S. Mid-Cap Equities
  3. Manuscript in preparation Machine-Learning Ranking for Short-Horizon Return Targets in U.S. Mid-Cap Equities Walk-Forward Validation, Portfolio Constraints, and Forward Shadow Testing

Access to research

Full texts are accessible through linked public publisher or repository records where available. Restricted institutional reports are not hosted on this site.

For additional researcher listings, consult my Academia.edu research profile and RePEc author record.